Pilot Service Marine Safety for the Energy Industry

This Pilot Services uses the Weather-Induced Extremes Digital Twin output to force a state-of-the art WaveWatch III wave model and novel Marine Icing model for the Norwegian COast Guard (MINCOG) model to provide 2 day forecasts of sea state and hazardous vessel icing.

In a nutshell

  • Operating at sea is always prone to weather related hazards, and this is even more so in the remote high latitude regions.
  • Barents Sea is home to offshore oil and gas industry, rich fisheries industry, and upcoming renewable energy production, but also to hazardous weather events, such as cold air outbreaks and polar lows.
  • This use case will help develop high resolution wave and vessel icing forecast to support operations in the Barents Sea

This Pilot Services uses the Weather-Induced Extremes Digital Twin output to force a state-of-the art WaveWatch III wave model and novel Marine Icing model for the Norwegian COast Guard (MINCOG) model to provide 2 day forecasts of sea state and hazardous vessel icing.

Technical Overview

Fishery ManagementHydrologyPilot ServiceRisk managementWeather
Digital Twins
National
Climate adaptationEnvironmentWeather impact

Challenge

The high latitude weather events, such as cold air outbreaks and polar lows are only a few tens of kilometers in size and often generated over short timescales, but generate dangerous conditions for marine operations – including high waves, cold temperatures, and potentially severe spray icing. Due to the small spatio-temporal scales, they challenge the capabilities of existing prediction models, especially at global scales.

DestinE Solution

Building upon the high resolution global Extremes DT, this Pilot Services provides wave and vessel icing forecast at 1 km resolution in the Barents Sea. With the possibility to get the wind forcing from the high resolution (700 m) regional area model of Extremes DT, the new product will provide forecasts that capture the hazardous conditions at unprecedented detail. With better resolved waves, winds, and lower atmospheric conditions, the vessel icing forecast will also be more accurate.

Impact

The use case will provide companies with offshore operations, including the use case the key stakeholders, with forecast that enable them to make most out of the time at sea, but to prepare and potentially stop operations when conditions become hazardous.

Contributions

Providers

Finnish Meteorological Institute
The Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway)